Sleeper cells, smuggled arms, and the quiet return of terror across Syria and Iraq.
Islamic State (IS) militants are quietly regrouping in Syria and Iraq, exploiting security vacuums left by U.S. troop reductions and regional instability. Intelligence sources warn that the group is smuggling weapons, recruiting, and reactivating sleeper cells in cities like Deir al-Zor, Hasakah, and Kirkuk.
Since 2022, IS has rebuilt capabilities in central Syria’s deserts, gradually moving into urban hubs along key transit routes. Attacks have targeted oil infrastructure and power lines. Iraq reports increased activity in the Hamrin Mountains and on vital supply paths. Authorities have foiled at least a dozen plots this year, including a suicide bombing thwarted in Daquq after intelligence from captured IS operatives.
IS is adapting its tactics; attacks claimed have dropped, but analysts believe the group is restrategizing, not weakening. Syrian raids in May uncovered militants in Aleppo. Meanwhile, Syria’s interim government, led by Islamist Ahmed al-Sharaa, faces pressure from Western powers and jihadist groups alike, following the fall of Bashar al-Assad.
Concerns grow over the security of IS detention camps like al Hol and Roj, home to 55,000 people—many of them radicalized women and children. These camps are seen as potential breeding grounds for future fighters. Despite no current signs IS can retake territory, analysts warn of a sustained insurgency if unchecked.
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